深圳市近39年来空气质量提升的产业政策影响分析
The Effect of Industrial Policy on Air Quality Improvement of Shenzhen in Recent 39 Years
中文摘要：
利用深圳市1979—2018年经济、灰霾、污染物浓度数据，分析了深圳市经济产业结构对大气环境的影响，探讨了产业政策对空气质量改善的作用。结果表明，深圳市空气质量随着经济发展先恶化后改善，拐点出现在2005年，主要是由于2005年以来产业结构发生了重大变化，第三产业比重不断提高，同时第二产业中高新技术产业也有了突变式的上升，从不到40%快速上升到50%以上。另外，2005年以来，单位能耗的降低、环境保护投资的增加、污染物排放的治理也是大气质量改善的原因。所有这些变化归根结底是由于产业政策的推动，不同阶段的产业政策对空气质量的改善起到了关键性作用。
中文关键词：
库兹涅茨曲线，灰霾，大气质量，产业结构
KeyWords：
environmental Kuznets curve, haze, air quality, industrial structure
Abstract：
In order to reveal the influence of economic development on atmospheric environment in the past 39 years in Shenzhen, the haze data from Shenzhen National Basic Meteorological Stations and economic indicator data from the Statistical Yearbook from 1979 to 2018 are used, and the relations between haze days and economic development are analyzed in this paper. Results show that air quality deteriorated first and then improved, with the turning point in 2005. It is mainly due to the significant change of the industrial structure since 2005 and the increasing proportion of the tertiary industry. At the same time, the hightech industrial output value in the second industry increased abruptly, jumping from 40% to above 50%. Since 2005, the unit energy consumption reduction, the environment protection investment increase and the governance of pollutant discharge have also contributed to the air quality improvement. All these changes are rooted in the industrial policy, and the industrial policy of different stages has played a key role in the air quality improvement.