无缝隙地球系统理念下世界气象中心发展趋势浅析
Preliminary Analysis on the Development Trends of World Meteorological Centres under the Concept of Seamless Earth System
中文摘要：
世界气象中心是世界气象组织（WMO）全球数据处理和预报系统（GDPFS）三级体系中的顶层业务机构，通过提供全球监测预报信息产品为国际防灾减灾和可持续发展做出了突出贡献。本文系统回顾了目前世界气象中心的发展现状，重点围绕无缝隙地球系统发展的理念，介绍了无缝隙预报、人工智能、云计算等最新相关技术进展，并结合先进全球业务中心的战略计划及WMO的最新政策对未来世界气象中心的发展趋势进行了初步展望。
中文关键词：
世界气象中心，无缝隙预报，地球系统，数值天气预报
KeyWords：
World Meteorological Centres, seamless prediction, Earth System, numerical weather prediction
Abstract：
The World Meteorological Centres (WMCs) are the top operational centres in the three-level Global Data Processing and Forecasting System (GDPFS) of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). They have made outstanding contributions to international disaster prevention and mitigation as well as international sustainable development by providing global monitoring and forecasting information products. This paper systematically reviews the development status of WMCs at present. By focusing on the concept of Seamless Earth System, we introduced the latest development of seamless forecasting, AI, cloud computing, etc., and made a preliminary outlook on the future development trend of WMCs based on the latest strategic plans of the advanced operational centres around the globe and the latest policies of the WMO.