山西省阳泉市行业气象灾害风险评估及在灾害防御中的应用
Risk Assessment of Industrial Meteorological Disaster and Its Application in Disaster Prevention in Yangquan City, Shanxi Province
中文摘要：
利用阳泉市分辨率到乡镇的气象灾情资料和行业调查得到的灾害隐患点资料，通过划分行业和分灾种总结出气象灾害临界气象条件指标体系；分析了阳泉市暴雨、强对流、降雨诱发地质灾害（泥石流、滑坡、崩塌）、森林火灾的灾害风险空间分布特征；以气象灾害危险度评估为基础，用易损度订正，简化影响各重点行业的各天气种类的气象灾害风险评估方法；与气象部门天气预报业务对接，在阳泉市行业气象服务业务平台中建成灾害风险评估模块，可自动定时进行未来24 h气象灾害风险预评估；以气象灾害风险预评估结果和天气预报为基础，人机交互制作或自动生成行业影响预报，用于当地气象灾害防御工作。
中文关键词：
阳泉市，行业，气象灾害风险评估，灾害防御
KeyWords：
Yangquan City, industry, risk assessment of meteorological disaster, disaster prevention
Abstract：
Based on the town-scale meteorological disaster data and the data of potential disaster points obtained from industry investigation in Yangquan, the following work is carried out: The critical meteorological condition index system of meteorological disasters is summarized according to the classification of industries and disaster types; The spatial distribution characteristics of disaster risks from forest fire and geological disasters induced by rainstorm, severe convection, and rainfall (debris flow, landslide, and collapse) are analyzed in Yangquan; Based on the danger degree assessment and revised by the vulnerability degree of meteorological disasters, the meteorological disaster risk assessment method for each weather type that impacts each key industry is simplified; By docking with the operational weather forecast of the local meteorological bureau, the disaster risk assessment module is set up in the meteorological service platform for different industries in Yangquan, which can automatically carry out meteorological disaster risk pre-assessment of the next 24 hours at a predetermined time. On the basis of meteorological disaster risk pre-assessment and weather forecast, the module is capable of generating industrial impact forecast, either by humancomputer interaction or by automatic generation, for the use of local meteorological disaster prevention.