“We have a bold vision that subseasonal to seasonal forecasts, which look two weeks to up to a year in advance, will be as widely used a decade from now as daily and weekly weather forecasts are today, even if such information never matches the level of confidence associated with tomorrow’s weather forecast, it could still be used by individuals, businesses, and governments to make a large array of important decisions. The path to realizing this vision and its inherent value will require focused effort on Earth system processes and predictions by both physical and social scientists. It’s time to step up investment in building next-generation Earth system prediction capabilities.”

     “我们可以大胆前瞻，提前2周到一年的季节内和季节预报，从现在开始的10年里将如今天逐日和周预报一样被广泛应用, 尽管这类信息很难达到像明天的天气预报那样的信度水平，它们还是会被个人、企业和政府用于大量重要决策中。认识这一愿景及其内在价值的方式，需要物理学者和社会科学家共同瞄准地球系统过程和预测。现在是加大投入建设下一代地球系统预报能力的时候。”

     ——美国科学院（NAS）最新出版了关于季节内和季节预报的研究报告，报告描绘了今后十年开展这一研究的四大研究战略，以提高季节内和季节预报的准确性。谈到这份报告，NAS负责报告起草的美国推进季节内到季节预报研究议程研制委员会联合主任Raymond J. Ban如是说。